William Katz:  Urgent Agenda

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IS THIS POSSIBLE? – AT 11:14 A.M. ET:  The new Reuters/Ipsos poll shows Hillary Clinton's lead cut in half in the past week.   From Reuters: 

Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump gained on his Democratic rival Hillary Clinton among American voters this week, cutting her lead nearly in half, according to Reuters/Ipsos polling released on Friday.

The polling data showed Trump's argument that the Nov. 8 election is "rigged" against him has resonated with members of his party.

"Remember folks, it's a rigged system," Trump told a Pennsylvania rally on Friday. "That's why you've got to get out and vote, you've got to watch. Because this system is totally rigged."

Clinton led Trump 44 percent to 40 percent, according to the Oct. 14-20 Reuters/Ipsos poll, a 4-point lead. That compared with 44 percent for Clinton and 37 percent for Trump in the Oct. 7-13 poll released last week.

An average of national opinion polls by RealClearPolitics shows Clinton 6.2 percentage points ahead at 48.1 percent support to Trump's 41.9 percent.

Trump is slated to give a speech Saturday in Gettysburg, Pennsylvania, best known as the site of a decisive Civil War battle and cemetery, and the place where Republican President Abraham Lincoln delivered his famous address.

Aides told reporters on Friday night that Trump would make his closing argument to voters in his speech, and preview what he would do in his first 100 days in the White House.

"I think this site is fitting in terms of understanding a positive vision for the Republican party," an aide said.

COMMENT:  Again, with polls, it's hard to know which ones are accurate.  There are a few polls that even show Trump ahead, but by narrow margins.  State polls, at least the ones we're getting, show a decisive Clinton win in the electoral college.

We're already getting the usual Democratic hype about a mandate, a Clinton "win" too large to ignore.  In my view, Clinton won't win anything.  She's not capable of winning anything.  It will be the Republicans who will lose, having run a terrible campaign.  In some election campaigns one can say that a candidate won by overwhelming an opponent.  That was the case when Ronald Reagan defeated incumbent President Jimmy Carter in 1980, having trailed Carter at the start.  In other elections a candidate simply loses, as the confused George McGovern lost to President Richard Nixon in 1972, even though there was no great enthusiasm for Nixon in the country. 

If Hillary "wins," she will still have to prove to the country that she's a true winner, not simply someone who capitalized on a weak opposition.  It will be a very tough task.

October 22,  2016